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Table 4 Expected value of additional state (EVAS) of each complication

From: Expected value of the additional state in evaluating the method of quantification and uncertainty of additional states in an analytical model of grade I hypertension

  Value of additional state* Uncertainty** EVAS
(±6.25% SD)  
(±12.5% SD)  
(±25% SD)  
(±50% SD)  
Recurrence of stroke 116 (140) 7 (8) 109 (132)
13 (16) 102 (124)
26 (32) 89 (108)
52 (60) 64 (80)
CHD 295 (356) 15 (18) 280 (338)
30 (36) 265 (320)
60 (72) 235 (284)
117 (142) 178 (214)
ESRD: Dialysis treatment 137 (167) 7 (8) 130 (159)
14 (16) 123 (151)
27 (33) 120 (134)
53 (64) 84 (103)
Conservative treatment 53 (65) 3 (4) 50 (61)
6 (7) 47 (58)
12 (15) 41 (50)
23 (28) 30 (37)
  1. Cumulative values of 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
  2. CHD: coronary heart disease, ESRD: end-stage renal disease.
  3. *The value of additional state = (CB–CA)/λ+ (EA–EB).
  4. **Uncertainty = an absolute value of the difference of the value of the additional state (average) and the trial value of the Monte Carlo simulations.
  5. EVAS = the value of the additional state – the uncertainty (of the additional state).
  6. Figures in parentheses indicate values when the discount rate is 0%.